Humans suffer from a dreadful condition – we crave simple answers to inherently complex problems. Healthcare, climate change, and financial regulation – people on each side of these debates demand immediate, specific policy choices to address their specific concerns (and to be paid for by someone else). But none of these “solutions” are cheap and they all come with the potential for massive unintended (harmful) consequences.
Business leaders are seldom immune to the malady. One CEO verbally trounced his chief sales officer for “missing the numbers” without any concern for (or awareness of) the complexity of the company’s sales cycle. A marketing executive was adamantly determined to pursue his plan without regard for the company’s shifting market position. Analysts and investors expect stair-step growth in revenues and earnings.
Here are a few helpful principles for managing this condition.
NOTHING lasts forever – Just as “trees don’t grow to the sky,” neither do housing prices, booming economies or stock prices. The natural world we live in is inherently seasonal and cyclical. Our mistake comes in assuming that we can extrapolate from whatever is happening currently. Maybe we can but only in the short run. And then there are those sudden, unexpected discontinuities. Prepare for the fall. Expect the unexpected.
The Muddle in the Middle – Very little in this world is truly black or white, or right or wrong. The vast majority of things come in varying shades of gray including ethics, public policy and business strategy. Significant business and policy decisions involve costs, tradeoffs and invariably unintended consequences.
Ask lots of questions and listen – Except in extreme emergencies, thoughtful, consultative decision-making usually results in better decisions, and better outcomes. Scientific discovery and technological innovation come in fits and starts. Why should anything else be different?
Life is a Rubik’s Cube – Finally, take your time; the solution seldom comes any faster by furiously twisting the pieces.
Recent Comments